Well, like every other person in the country who has tried to call the election and make predictions, I was wrong. Senator Barack Obama is making a run that no one had calculated even a month ago. Before Super Tuesday Barack was trailing Hillary in virtually every poll at the start of the New Year but that goes to show you how accurate polls are.

Obama and Clinton are now in a deadlock that probably won’t be resolved until the Democratic National Convention in August. Obama has picked up steam after he swept the board last night taking Louisiana, Washington, and Nebraska. What is more worrisome for the Clinton campaign is that it doesn’t look like they will win a primary or Caucus until March when Ohio and Texas hold their primaries. These states are delegate rich and will make or break Hillary’s campaign. Even my home state of Pennsylvania looks like it will have a large say in who gets the nomination.

I’ve heard a ton of bitching about superdelegates and how they will potentially steal the nomination from Barack Obama because Clinton is more of a “Washington insider” and can more easily rally the superdelegates who are also Washington insiders to her cause. That might happen, and everyone will go wild, but here’s something that no one has even thought about. Michigan and Florida were penalized by the National Democratic Committee who virtually makes the rules for the party. Because FL and MI held their primaries before their allotted times, both states lost their delegates. Voting still look place and Hillary carried both states. Hillary crushed Obama in Florida and ran away with Michigan as Obama wasn’t even on the ballot there. If it gets really close in the delegate count Hillary can always push for those delegates to be counted because right now they aren’t. FL and MI were also rather large states with plenty of delegates.

Clinton vs. Obama

In my humble opinion I think it is sad that the DNC said the delegates for those states didn’t count. It’s pitiful that we push everyone in the country to vote. All everyone did for a decade was bitch about voter turnout and then record numbers of voters poured out to cast their ballot and some rule making club says “Oh, sorry, your vote doesn’t count”. Not just in a metaphorical sense, but your vote literally doesn’t mean shit. If the DNC in the end doesn’t allow FL or MI to use their delegates and Barack Obama eeks out a win I’ll flip the fuck out. I’m not sure what I’ll do exactly but my faith in our “democratic” system will be shattered and I’ll never vote again.

It’s just amazing that they run all these campaigns to get Americans out and voting and when there is finally an energized and exciting election it gets fucked up by rules, superdelegates, and bargaining behind the curtains. Even though the Republicans aren’t much better they have their shit together way more than the Dems. Most of their states are winner take all so it’s a more decisive primary and caucus system. Republicans also don’t have to deal with the retarded concept that is superdelegate. John McCain’s shriveled ass is running away with the Republican nomination because their system is far more decisive and organized. Even though Mike Huckabee is still fighting mathematically it’s a near impossibility for him to capture the nomination. I hugely respect Huckabee because he is someone who finally has enough balls to not just drop out because his enemies are telling him he’s embarrassing the party. Surely Mike Huckabee has a truck full of balls compared to John Edwards who dropped out like a little Nancy. Elections are a process of competition, so what is the point in the first states dictating who will win and everyone dropping out around the front runner? Hell, McCain’s campaign virtually died last year but now look where he is; elections can swing like that.

Back to my initial point though, there isn’t as much bitching and fighting in the Republican Party. John McCain right now is spending his time uniting his party against the Dems while the Dems continue to tear each other apart. I thought that the Democratics would have a virtual lock on the general election in November but now I am honestly not so sure. A moderate republican has found his way to the nomination. I still think the Democrats will take the White House because of McCain’s stance on the war but it won’t be the landslide everyone is predicting.